Monday, December 17, 2007

Revolutionary changes or evolution process. Which way you want?

The process of change in Myanmar is going to be long, painful and evolutionary. There simply isn't a silver bullet,' said Zarni, a Myanmar exile and professor at Oxford University who goes by one name. The best hope for Myanmar, he said, is to wait for the inevitable transition in leadership, as the 74-year-old Than Shwe eventually hands power to a younger clique that could be more open to change.(From Bangkok Post)

Ko Zarni, it is a candid outlook that younger clique could be more open. The younger clique will carry on the tradition of army postulated by Ne Win and Than Shwe. Than Swe and his clique are 65-70 years old. Second in line group is (Than Sein , Thura Tin A Myin Oo) 55 to 65 years old. Third in line group is 50 to 55 yrs old army divisional commanders. All three groups would follow Ne Win army tradition, army’s leading role in politics. They will never abandon this concept.

Than Swe and his men’s only fear is mutiny from soldiers. Mutiny could occur when soldiers could not feed their families. If there is no rice in their kitchen, then there will be mutiny. There is Burmese saying, no one survive without rice for 7 days. Army buy rice as soon as harvest . Once army order is fulfilled, then merchants can trade openly.

Ko Zarni, how many years we have to wait, not patience anymore. Evolution takes time, it is necessary to make it faster by revolution. Soldiers only surrender when their might is in jeopardy. Look for ways to jeopardize their might(power). Arms struggle (guerrilla war) in cities may be necessary. Cultivate the spirit of dare to die instead of dying during painful evolution.



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